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Red79
420135.2
119729.4
68716.7
Blue77
60725.3
312829.8
473817.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions945702040801201401607977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#23
35.20.3
41.941.5
Auto11.5
Teleop20.4
End3.3
red by 5.4
3128
#10
29.80.2
31.731.9
Auto8.5
Teleop8.6
End12.6
Second
1197
#17
29.40.3
32.231.9
Auto9.9
Teleop17.5
End2.0
red by 11.6
4738
#24
17.80.2
22.823.0
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Third
687
#35
16.70.3
9.89.5
Auto7.1
Teleop5.6
End4.0
red by 11.3
6072
#41
5.30.2
3.43.6
Auto3.1
Teleop0.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsEarned