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Red86
519943.9
40797.9
420135.2
Blue104
330925.5
432216.8
832.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9587020406012014016086104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.1
40.740.6
Auto8.3
Teleop23.1
End12.4
red by 11.6
8
#5
32.30.9
34.435.3
Auto12.0
Teleop14.9
End5.5
Second
4201
#23
35.20.1
39.939.8
Auto11.5
Teleop20.4
End3.3
red by 9.8
25.50.9
31.031.8
Auto9.7
Teleop8.1
End7.6
Third
4079
#39
7.90.1
7.57.4
Auto4.8
Teleop0.4
End2.8
blue by 8.9
4322
#26
16.80.9
17.518.4
Auto7.8
Teleop5.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed43%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned55%Hangar oddsEarned