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Red76
585714.7
263730.8
622018.1
Blue97
656029.9
499917.5
699534.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5682020401001201401607697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2637
#21
30.81.4
25.927.3
Auto10.4
Teleop13.5
End6.9
blue by 3.4
34.21.5
27.428.9
Auto9.6
Teleop12.5
End12.1
Second
6220
#13
18.11.4
15.416.8
Auto7.0
Teleop8.0
End3.1
blue by 11.9
29.91.5
34.235.7
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End10.0
Third
5857
#32
14.71.4
14.215.6
Auto7.2
Teleop4.1
End3.4
blue by 2.8
4999
#18
17.51.5
12.313.8
Auto7.5
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned