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Red34
29422.9
59717.2
183610.5
Blue121
265819.6
69647.1
499917.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions588205010015034121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#40
22.92.4
25.022.6
Auto8.3
Teleop15.3
End-0.7
blue by 24.2
696
#6
47.12.9
42.545.4
Auto13.3
Teleop25.7
End8.2
Second
597
#25
17.22.4
19.617.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End3.1
blue by 2.3
2658
#36
19.62.9
16.719.6
Auto8.0
Teleop7.0
End4.6
Third
1836
#34
10.52.4
12.910.5
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End5.2
blue by 7.0
4999
#18
17.52.9
14.717.5
Auto7.5
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed44%Hangar oddsMissed