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Red160
594057.2
46989.4
167876.3
Blue128
167134.4
804811.3
11444.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1638450100150200160128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.30.0
76.376.3
Auto18.6
Teleop44.6
End13.2
red by 31.5
114
#2
44.90.7
44.244.9
Auto11.5
Teleop22.8
End10.7
Second
57.20.0
57.257.2
Auto14.9
Teleop33.6
End8.7
red by 22.8
34.40.7
33.734.4
Auto11.3
Teleop15.4
End7.8
Third
4698
#30
9.40.0
9.49.4
Auto1.8
Teleop5.6
End2.1
blue by 1.9
8048
#23
11.30.7
10.611.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End2.2