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Red99
325720.0
26438.4
167876.3
Blue62
80169.4
107224.9
255127.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107640501502009962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.30.3
70.270.5
Auto18.6
Teleop44.6
End13.2
red by 48.9
2551
#28
27.41.6
28.226.6
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End11.3
Second
3257
#11
20.00.3
16.116.4
Auto5.5
Teleop7.4
End7.1
blue by 4.9
1072
#22
24.91.6
27.425.8
Auto4.1
Teleop16.1
End4.7
Third
2643
#34
8.40.3
8.79.0
Auto4.7
Teleop2.0
End1.6
blue by 1.1
8016
#33
9.41.6
10.28.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsEarned24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned76%Hangar oddsMissed