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Red43
527413.1
207323.4
80169.4
Blue141
691815.6
581724.2
167876.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4012805010015020043141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#26
23.40.9
28.327.3
Auto9.2
Teleop9.6
End4.6
blue by 52.9
76.31.9
70.572.4
Auto18.6
Teleop44.6
End13.2
Second
5274
#27
13.10.9
12.011.1
Auto5.9
Teleop3.5
End3.8
blue by 11.1
24.21.9
22.724.6
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Third
8016
#33
9.40.9
8.67.7
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End2.3
blue by 6.2
6918
#20
15.61.9
15.717.6
Auto5.9
Teleop4.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed74%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed86%Hangar oddsEarned