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Red38
605911.7
54300.7
255127.4
Blue40
77777.6
691815.6
207323.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335902040801001203840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#28
27.40.0
25.625.6
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End11.3
red by 4.0
2073
#26
23.41.1
27.326.3
Auto9.2
Teleop9.6
End4.6
Second
6059
#17
11.70.0
8.88.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.8
End1.0
blue by 3.9
6918
#20
15.61.1
17.616.5
Auto5.9
Teleop4.4
End5.3
Third
5430
#36
0.70.0
0.10.1
Auto1.1
Teleop-1.0
End0.6
blue by 6.9
7777
#35
7.61.1
7.05.9
Auto1.2
Teleop4.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed