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Red62
545818.7
385915.7
605911.7
Blue21
359811.7
59247.5
80169.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47270204060801001206221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.71.3
18.419.7
Auto7.4
Teleop4.4
End6.9
red by 7.0
3598
#13
11.70.5
12.411.9
Auto5.1
Teleop1.0
End5.6
Second
15.71.3
14.215.5
Auto6.7
Teleop4.1
End4.8
red by 6.2
8016
#33
9.40.5
8.88.3
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End2.3
Third
6059
#17
11.71.3
9.310.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.8
End1.0
red by 4.3
5924
#21
7.50.5
6.86.4
Auto4.8
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed1%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed