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Red96
80169.4
84115.0
594057.2
Blue64
741920.3
166223.1
77777.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions883902060801001201401609664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.21.3
55.556.8
Auto14.9
Teleop33.6
End8.7
red by 34.1
23.11.4
20.321.7
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End9.4
Second
841
#24
15.01.3
12.814.1
Auto6.1
Teleop8.5
End0.5
blue by 5.3
7419
#16
20.31.4
16.517.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End10.0
Third
8016
#33
9.41.3
8.39.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End2.3
red by 1.8
7777
#35
7.61.4
6.27.6
Auto1.2
Teleop4.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsEarned