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Red58
831.6
281322.4
766B7.8
Blue80
541925.1
67031.7
8419.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7170506080905880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#7
31.60.3
32.532.2
Auto7.6
Teleop18.7
End5.3
blue by 0.1
670
#5
31.70.0
31.831.9
Auto12.2
Teleop13.1
End6.4
Second
22.40.3
23.323.0
Auto7.8
Teleop6.7
End7.9
blue by 2.7
5419
#11
25.10.0
25.325.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.1
End5.3
Third
766B
#35
7.80.4
9.18.6
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End5.1
blue by 2.0
841
#20
9.80.0
9.99.9
Auto5.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5