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Red46
67031.7
70111.3
8419.8
Blue42
541925.1
24739.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564502040801004642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#5
31.70.6
28.627.9
Auto12.2
Teleop13.1
End6.4
red by 6.6
5419
#11
25.10.1
27.327.2
Auto6.7
Teleop13.1
End5.3
Second
701
#29
11.30.6
12.511.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End1.2
red by 2.1
2473
#36
9.20.1
10.810.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End2.1
Third
841
#20
9.80.6
10.29.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
red by 7.3
2.50.2
5.75.5
Auto1.4
Teleop2.0
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
51%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed52%Hangar oddsMissed