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Red36
713711.0
8528.6
11514.0
Blue71
10010.8
641813.7
914325.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324302060801003671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#17
14.00.2
13.112.8
Auto6.9
Teleop3.9
End3.2
blue by 11.9
25.91.3
16.918.2
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End9.2
Second
7137
#22
11.00.2
10.310.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End4.2
blue by 2.7
6418
#14
13.70.8
12.012.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.7
Third
852
#28
8.60.2
7.97.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End3.2
blue by 2.2
100
#26
10.80.8
10.511.2
Auto3.2
Teleop1.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsEarned