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Qual 42022 CalGames
Red54
502621.1
64936.3
196710.3
Blue4
641813.7
2813B2.5
76614.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9148020406080100120140160544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#2
36.31.7
39.1→37.4
Auto8.1
Teleop19.6
End8.6
red by 21.8
766
#19
14.53.1
18.3→15.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End8.7
Second
5026
#8
21.11.7
23.0→21.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End6.5
red by 7.4
6418
#14
13.73.1
18.1→15.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.7
Third
1967
#21
10.31.7
17.9→16.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.1
End2.3
red by 7.9
2813B
#33
2.50.7
9.9→9.2
Auto1.4
Teleop2.0
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned63%Hangar oddsMissed