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Red49
641813.7
415911.6
29911.1
Blue8
30457.8
54302.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38120206080498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#14
13.71.1
13.314.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.7
red by 5.8
7.80.4
8.47.9
Auto4.0
Teleop1.5
End2.3
Second
4159
#31
11.61.1
9.510.6
Auto6.1
Teleop4.6
End0.9
red by 9.2
2.50.7
3.32.5
Auto1.4
Teleop2.0
End-1.0
Third
299
#13
11.11.1
9.310.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End4.5
red by 8.9
5430
#32
2.20.4
3.02.6
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsEarned4%Hangar oddsMissed