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Qual 492022 CalGames
Red71
67031.7
30457.8
196710.3
Blue29
879312.4
49048.9
641813.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5637020801007129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#5
31.70.6
30.1→30.7
Auto12.2
Teleop13.1
End6.4
red by 18.0
6418
#14
13.70.8
14.4→13.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.7
Second
1967
#21
10.30.6
11.8→12.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.1
End2.3
blue by 2.0
8793
#12
12.40.8
13.0→12.2
Auto6.3
Teleop2.5
End3.6
Third
3045
#9
7.80.6
7.9→8.5
Auto4.0
Teleop1.5
End2.3
blue by 1.0
4904
#30
8.90.8
9.6→8.8
Auto4.5
Teleop2.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsMissed