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Semifinal 2-12022 CalGames
Red28
914325.9
64936.3
8408.4
Blue106
541925.1
67031.7
8419.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826720406010012014028106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#2
36.31.1
37.4→36.3
Auto8.1
Teleop19.6
End8.6
red by 4.6
670
#5
31.70.7
31.2→32.0
Auto12.2
Teleop13.1
End6.4
Second
9143
#3
25.91.5
27.9→26.4
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End9.2
red by 0.8
5419
#11
25.10.7
24.7→25.4
Auto6.7
Teleop13.1
End5.3
Third
840
#23
8.41.1
9.9→8.7
Auto5.6
Teleop-0.0
End2.9
blue by 1.4
841
#20
9.80.7
9.3→10.0
Auto5.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5