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Red83
80918.8
715740.5
753921.6
Blue38
802015.3
464314.8
66626.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50280204060801008338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.52.9
28.231.1
Auto10.2
Teleop24.3
End5.9
red by 25.1
8020
#23
15.30.4
13.313.6
Auto5.5
Teleop3.0
End6.9
Second
21.64.3
8.913.2
Auto6.8
Teleop4.2
End10.6
red by 6.8
4643
#14
14.80.5
8.18.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.9
End3.4
Third
8091
#28
8.84.3
7.211.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.6
End2.8
red by 2.6
6662
#43
6.20.5
7.78.3
Auto3.0
Teleop0.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsEarned49%Hangar oddsMissed