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Red18
325713.7
766710.0
69812.3
Blue28
6878.1
713710.2
572810.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4023010305060701828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3257
#19
13.72.0
11.59.6
Auto2.5
Teleop7.8
End3.4
red by 3.1
5728
#40
10.61.8
10.28.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End2.7
Second
7667
#38
10.02.0
15.113.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End-0.6
blue by 0.3
7137
#34
10.21.8
5.33.5
Auto2.1
Teleop7.6
End0.5
Third
6981
#42
2.32.0
9.07.0
Auto0.9
Teleop0.0
End1.4
blue by 5.8
687
#32
8.11.1
8.37.3
Auto3.2
Teleop0.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed