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Red120
167864.9
804812.5
545813.4
Blue119
803326.6
25464.1
66626.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90810200300400120119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.92.2
62.764.9
Auto13.6
Teleop39.2
End12.1
red by 0.8
254
#1
64.12.8
47.950.7
Auto14.5
Teleop36.3
End13.4
Second
5458
#35
13.43.6
8.412.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End3.1
blue by 13.2
26.62.8
21.224.0
Auto6.7
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Third
8048
#16
12.53.6
12.616.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.1
End0.3
red by 6.3
6662
#43
6.22.8
8.311.2
Auto3.0
Teleop0.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsEarned