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Red54
753921.6
803326.6
713710.2
Blue98
66199.5
49049.1
25464.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4081020601001201401605498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.61.2
24.025.2
Auto6.7
Teleop18.8
End1.2
blue by 37.5
254
#1
64.11.7
50.752.4
Auto14.5
Teleop36.3
End13.4
Second
21.61.2
15.016.2
Auto6.8
Teleop4.2
End10.6
red by 12.1
6619
#33
9.51.7
11.112.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.6
End3.4
Third
7137
#34
10.21.2
4.25.4
Auto2.1
Teleop7.6
End0.5
red by 1.2
4904
#36
9.11.7
9.110.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsEarned44%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsMissed