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Red71
14586.5
203511.4
167864.9
Blue57
255131.9
69812.3
541923.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1065801502007157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.92.0
64.862.8
Auto13.6
Teleop39.2
End12.1
red by 33.0
2551
#10
31.90.5
34.033.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.7
End12.6
Second
2035
#26
11.43.4
14.811.4
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End3.7
blue by 12.4
5419
#6DQ
23.80.5
22.822.2
Auto8.5
Teleop6.8
End8.5
Third
1458
#24
6.53.4
13.910.5
Auto1.9
Teleop2.7
End1.8
red by 4.1
6981
#42
2.30.9
4.13.2
Auto0.9
Teleop0.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsMissed