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Red69
116023.1
76611.9
691815.2
Blue111
325713.7
753921.6
97351.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46860206010012014016069111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1160
#12
23.10.8
19.220.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End4.5
blue by 28.5
973
#2
51.72.4
47.449.8
Auto11.5
Teleop32.0
End8.2
Second
6918
#22
15.21.3
13.715.0
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End3.2
blue by 6.4
21.63.7
17.921.6
Auto6.8
Teleop4.2
End10.6
Third
766
#21
11.91.3
15.616.9
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End4.5
blue by 1.8
3257
#19
13.73.7
10.013.7
Auto2.5
Teleop7.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed63%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned68%Hangar oddsEarned