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Red34
66626.2
545813.4
840413.7
Blue66
116023.1
236711.8
713710.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364502060803466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8404
#30
13.70.9
14.513.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.4
blue by 9.4
1160
#12
23.10.9
20.020.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End4.5
Second
5458
#35
13.40.9
11.210.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End3.1
red by 1.6
2367
#37
11.81.3
13.214.5
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End2.3
Third
6662
#43
6.20.9
9.38.4
Auto3.0
Teleop0.3
End2.9
blue by 4.0
7137
#34
10.21.3
7.99.2
Auto2.1
Teleop7.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed