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Red126
803326.6
97351.7
116023.1
Blue58
840413.7
203511.4
166219.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1133305010015020012658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#2
51.71.8
49.851.6
Auto11.5
Teleop32.0
End8.2
red by 32.2
1662
#20
19.41.6
17.319.0
Auto3.1
Teleop11.7
End4.7
Second
26.62.5
25.027.5
Auto6.7
Teleop18.8
End1.2
red by 12.9
8404
#30
13.71.6
13.615.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Third
1160
#12
23.11.8
20.922.7
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End4.5
red by 11.7
2035
#26
11.41.6
10.011.6
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsMissed