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Red51
802015.3
29910.2
183617.2
Blue39
66199.5
803326.6
691815.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416320801005139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1836
#18
17.20.4
16.617.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End9.9
blue by 9.4
26.61.4
28.527.2
Auto6.7
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Second
8020
#23
15.30.4
14.915.3
Auto5.5
Teleop3.0
End6.9
red by 0.1
6918
#22
15.21.4
16.615.2
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End3.2
Third
299
#31
10.20.5
9.810.2
Auto2.3
Teleop4.9
End3.1
red by 0.8
6619
#33
9.51.4
10.89.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed58%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsMissed