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Red28
527414.9
6878.1
66626.2
Blue113
97351.7
167864.9
31896.2
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1615205010020025028113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5274
#17
14.91.0
16.415.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End4.0
blue by 50.1
64.91.1
64.263.1
Auto13.6
Teleop39.2
End12.1
Second
687
#32
8.10.8
8.67.8
Auto3.2
Teleop0.9
End4.0
blue by 43.6
973
#2
51.71.1
53.152.1
Auto11.5
Teleop32.0
End8.2
Third
6662
#43
6.21.0
7.26.2
Auto3.0
Teleop0.3
End2.9
Level
3189
#39
6.21.3
7.56.2
Auto4.5
Teleop-0.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed92%Hangar oddsEarned