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Red39
22047.6
572810.6
766710.0
Blue42
570018.1
203511.4
76611.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234804060801003942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5728
#40
10.61.2
9.410.6
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End2.7
blue by 7.6
5700
#27
18.10.0
17.917.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End5.0
Second
7667
#38
10.01.2
8.810.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End-0.6
blue by 1.9
766
#21
11.90.0
12.512.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End4.5
Third
2204
#41
7.61.2
6.47.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.7
End1.3
blue by 3.8
2035
#26
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsEarned