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Red180
167864.9
25464.1
545813.4
Blue61
107229.1
541923.8
6878.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16549010015020025018061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.6
64.264.9
Auto13.6
Teleop39.2
End12.1
red by 35.9
29.10.1
29.229.1
Auto8.3
Teleop13.9
End6.9
Second
254
#1
64.10.7
63.464.1
Auto14.5
Teleop36.3
End13.4
red by 40.3
23.80.1
23.923.8
Auto8.5
Teleop6.8
End8.5
Third
5458
#35
13.40.7
12.613.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End3.1
red by 5.3
687
#32
8.10.1
8.28.1
Auto3.2
Teleop0.9
End4.0