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Red155
97362.0
132370.5
581710.0
Blue110
397033.5
594053.6
126614.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160996080120140180200155110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.50.0
70.570.5
Auto16.3
Teleop42.0
End12.2
red by 16.8
53.60.0
53.653.6
Auto14.1
Teleop32.9
End6.6
Second
973
#2
62.00.0
61.962.0
Auto15.3
Teleop41.0
End5.7
red by 28.4
33.50.0
33.533.5
Auto8.6
Teleop18.3
End6.6
Third
5817
#28
10.00.0
10.010.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End2.2
blue by 4.0
1266
#20
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End2.3