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Red81
351226.6
527417.1
359817.1
Blue83
325530.2
254315.8
10014.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64670501001508183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.3
26.426.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End9.3
blue by 3.6
3255
#16
30.20.0
30.830.8
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End5.4
Second
3598
#19
17.10.3
16.917.2
Auto6.3
Teleop3.6
End7.2
red by 1.3
15.80.0
16.416.5
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End10.1
Third
17.10.3
16.817.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End4.1
red by 2.9
100
#25
14.20.0
14.814.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End6.9