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Red56
11515.5
167121.9
31899.8
Blue48
665714.3
359817.1
248520.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453702060801005648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.0
19.120.1
Auto7.2
Teleop10.6
End4.1
red by 1.7
2485
#13
20.21.1
16.017.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End9.8
Second
115
#15
15.51.0
16.117.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.0
End3.3
blue by 1.6
3598
#19
17.10.9
10.511.3
Auto6.3
Teleop3.6
End7.2
Third
3189
#14
9.81.1
6.27.3
Auto5.1
Teleop1.9
End2.8
blue by 4.5
6657
#23
14.31.3
9.711.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsEarned