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Qual 142022 Central Valley Regional
Red71
401020.2
527417.1
413516.8
Blue47
14224.9
630513.6
397033.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4461020801001207147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#24
20.21.9
13.3→15.2
Auto5.9
Teleop6.8
End7.5
blue by 13.4
3970
#4
33.50.5
32.2→31.7
Auto8.6
Teleop18.3
End6.6
Second
5274
#7
17.11.9
16.1→18.0
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End4.1
red by 3.5
6305
#18
13.60.9
12.2→11.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.3
End2.8
Third
4135
#27
16.81.9
13.7→15.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End1.0
red by 11.9
1422
#32
4.90.9
10.5→9.6
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsEarned46%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsMissed