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Red61
10014.2
128010.1
325720.4
Blue36
753920.1
752814.8
592410.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364002060801001206136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3257
#10
20.41.0
13.914.9
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End6.7
red by 0.4
7539
#11
20.10.3
21.220.9
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End8.6
Second
100
#25
14.21.0
13.314.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End6.9
blue by 0.6
7528
#21
14.80.3
11.310.9
Auto6.9
Teleop4.7
End3.1
Third
1280
#17
10.11.0
6.77.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End2.1
blue by 0.3
5924
#31
10.40.3
4.34.0
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsEarned