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Red58
397033.5
413516.8
11515.5
Blue47
401020.2
325530.2
665714.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7154204060801001205847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.4
31.330.8
Auto8.6
Teleop18.3
End6.6
red by 3.3
3255
#16
30.20.6
27.827.2
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End5.4
Second
4135
#27
16.80.4
15.815.4
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End1.0
blue by 3.3
4010
#24
20.20.6
14.814.1
Auto5.9
Teleop6.8
End7.5
Third
115
#15
15.50.4
17.517.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.0
End3.3
red by 1.2
6657
#23
14.31.1
10.29.1
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
67%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed42%Hangar oddsMissed