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Red43
753920.1
671111.8
25311.9
Blue55
527417.1
166113.4
594053.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399202060801001201401604355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7539
#11
20.10.6
19.318.8
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End8.6
blue by 33.6
53.61.6
50.048.4
Auto14.1
Teleop32.9
End6.6
Second
253
#26
11.90.6
11.811.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End0.7
blue by 5.2
17.11.6
17.515.9
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End4.1
Third
6711
#30
11.80.9
12.311.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End2.3
blue by 1.6
1661
#22
13.41.6
11.810.2
Auto6.0
Teleop6.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed71%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsMissed