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Red45
630513.6
401020.2
592410.4
Blue107
132370.5
128010.1
671111.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128905010015045107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#24
20.21.9
9.111.0
Auto5.9
Teleop6.8
End7.5
blue by 50.3
70.51.7
58.960.5
Auto16.3
Teleop42.0
End12.2
Second
6305
#18
13.62.7
9.111.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.3
End2.8
red by 1.7
6711
#30
11.82.8
8.211.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End2.3
Third
5924
#31
10.41.6
3.04.5
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End1.5
red by 0.3
1280
#17
10.11.7
6.88.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed56%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsEarned60%Hangar oddsEarned