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Red62
359817.1
397033.5
630513.6
Blue117
97362.0
592410.4
325530.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5111210015062117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.4
32.332.7
Auto8.6
Teleop18.3
End6.6
blue by 28.4
973
#2
62.01.1
59.860.9
Auto15.3
Teleop41.0
End5.7
Second
3598
#19
17.10.4
13.213.7
Auto6.3
Teleop3.6
End7.2
blue by 13.1
3255
#16
30.21.1
27.328.4
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End5.4
Third
6305
#18
13.60.7
10.110.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.3
End2.8
red by 3.2
5924
#31
10.41.1
9.911.0
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed60%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsEarned65%Hangar oddsMissed