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Red57
359817.1
248520.2
87686.5
Blue65
325720.4
25311.9
630513.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46432060805765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#13
20.21.0
21.722.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End9.8
blue by 0.2
3257
#10
20.41.4
17.018.4
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End6.7
Second
3598
#19
17.11.0
14.215.2
Auto6.3
Teleop3.6
End7.2
red by 3.5
6305
#18
13.62.0
11.313.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.3
End2.8
Third
8768
#29
6.51.0
6.57.5
Auto0.9
Teleop3.0
End2.7
blue by 5.3
253
#26
11.91.4
12.213.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsEarned