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Red56
248520.2
126614.0
254315.8
Blue31
87686.5
753920.1
752814.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594220801005631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#13
20.20.3
22.722.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End9.8
red by 0.2
7539
#11
20.10.7
18.918.2
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End8.6
Second
15.80.3
17.317.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End10.1
red by 1.0
7528
#21
14.80.7
15.014.3
Auto6.9
Teleop4.7
End3.1
Third
1266
#20
14.00.3
13.112.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End2.3
red by 7.5
8768
#29
6.50.7
7.56.8
Auto0.9
Teleop3.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned61%Hangar oddsMissed