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Red46
31899.8
10014.2
11515.5
Blue64
397033.5
126614.0
25311.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4363020801004664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#15
15.50.1
15.215.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.0
End3.3
blue by 18.0
33.50.2
32.833.0
Auto8.6
Teleop18.3
End6.6
Second
100
#25
14.20.1
15.415.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End6.9
red by 0.2
1266
#20
14.00.2
12.913.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End2.3
Third
3189
#14
9.80.1
12.412.4
Auto5.1
Teleop1.9
End2.8
blue by 2.1
253
#26
11.90.2
11.011.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed36%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed