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Red63
248520.2
413516.8
661911.9
Blue54
128010.1
753920.1
401020.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49520204060801001201406354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#13
20.20.9
19.620.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End9.8
red by 0.1
4010
#24
20.20.4
18.518.9
Auto5.9
Teleop6.8
End7.5
Second
4135
#27
16.80.9
14.915.8
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End1.0
blue by 3.3
7539
#11
20.10.4
19.920.3
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End8.6
Third
6619
#12
11.90.9
11.412.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.7
End3.2
red by 1.8
1280
#17
10.10.4
9.610.0
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsMissed62%Hangar oddsMissed