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Red158
132370.5
594053.6
401020.2
Blue33
325720.4
665714.3
167121.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1423405010020025015833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.52.0
60.562.6
Auto16.3
Teleop42.0
End12.2
red by 48.6
21.91.1
20.118.9
Auto7.2
Teleop10.6
End4.1
Second
53.62.0
48.050.0
Auto14.1
Teleop32.9
End6.6
red by 33.2
3257
#10
20.41.1
15.113.9
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End6.7
Third
4010
#24
20.22.3
11.013.3
Auto5.9
Teleop6.8
End7.5
red by 5.9
6657
#23
14.31.9
11.09.1
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsMissed