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Red41
87686.5
325720.4
397033.5
Blue35
167121.9
10014.2
254315.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69612040801004135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.51.5
34.032.4
Auto8.6
Teleop18.3
End6.6
red by 11.6
21.91.6
24.222.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.6
End4.1
Second
3257
#10
20.41.5
22.020.5
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End6.7
red by 4.6
15.81.6
18.016.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End10.1
Third
8768
#29
6.51.5
8.16.5
Auto0.9
Teleop3.0
End2.7
blue by 7.7
100
#25
14.21.6
16.414.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
53%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsMissed80%Hangar oddsMissed