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Red168
347652.0
69641.9
59914.8
Blue111
420141.6
715748.6
447014.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114113100110120130140150160168111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.00.3
51.351.6
Auto14.1
Teleop26.3
End11.6
red by 3.3
48.60.2
49.048.9
Auto10.0
Teleop32.1
End6.5
Second
696
#1
41.90.3
41.241.5
Auto9.5
Teleop22.0
End10.4
red by 0.3
41.60.2
42.041.9
Auto13.1
Teleop21.8
End6.7
Third
599
#21
14.80.3
14.214.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End3.9
red by 0.4
4470
#26
14.50.2
15.014.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.1
End8.5