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Red136
347652.0
69641.9
59914.8
Blue70
784022.3
59724.2
427614.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1195610015013670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.00.7
50.451.1
Auto14.1
Teleop26.3
End11.6
red by 27.8
597
#12
24.20.0
24.124.2
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End5.1
Second
696
#1
41.90.7
40.441.1
Auto9.5
Teleop22.0
End10.4
red by 19.6
7840
#17
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End7.7
Third
599
#21
14.80.7
13.314.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End3.9
red by 0.4
4276
#14
14.40.0
14.414.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End2.1