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Red115
119732.6
263728.5
499913.9
Blue56
580225.4
508920.8
69117.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8269406010012014011556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1197
#10
32.60.4
32.632.9
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End4.5
red by 7.2
5802
#18
25.40.3
26.326.0
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End4.0
Second
28.50.4
28.528.9
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End8.8
red by 7.8
20.80.3
21.621.3
Auto6.5
Teleop6.0
End8.3
Third
4999
#31
13.90.4
13.914.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End2.9
blue by 3.4
691
#15
17.30.3
18.217.8
Auto4.3
Teleop9.8
End3.2