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Red108
69641.9
263728.5
585717.7
Blue79
119732.6
704227.1
512428.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4568020608010012014010879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#1
41.93.7
20.324.0
Auto9.5
Teleop22.0
End10.4
red by 9.3
1197
#10
32.61.5
21.322.8
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End4.5
Second
28.53.7
13.417.1
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End8.8
red by 0.6
28.01.2
17.919.1
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End9.5
Third
5857
#28
17.76.1
11.417.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End4.4
blue by 9.4
27.11.5
21.823.3
Auto7.6
Teleop7.4
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsEarned18%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsEarned61%Hangar oddsEarned