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Red28
9685.9
347317.2
889813.1
Blue64
69117.3
59724.2
784022.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264202060802864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3473
#30
17.20.5
15.715.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End6.2
blue by 6.9
597
#12
24.21.7
17.719.4
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End5.1
Second
8898
#29
13.10.7
6.45.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End2.6
blue by 9.2
7840
#17
22.32.5
10.112.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End7.7
Third
968
#39
5.90.4
4.54.0
Auto3.7
Teleop2.2
End0.0
blue by 11.4
691
#15
17.31.7
9.611.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed42%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsEarned