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Red80
69117.3
263728.5
450118.2
Blue70
683216.7
499913.9
29429.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555240607080908070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.51.7
22.023.7
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End8.8
blue by 0.9
294
#27
29.51.4
22.624.0
Auto9.6
Teleop17.1
End2.7
Second
4501
#22
18.21.7
13.515.2
Auto5.9
Teleop5.9
End6.5
red by 1.5
6832
#20
16.71.4
14.115.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End7.4
Third
691
#15
17.31.7
15.617.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.8
End3.2
red by 3.4
4999
#31
13.91.4
12.513.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsMissed